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Breaking News: Tether Targets $500 Billion Valuation In New Equity Offering Amid US Expansion Plans
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Breaking News: Tether Targets $500 Billion Valuation In New Equity Offering Amid US Expansion Plans

Bitcoin At $3.4 Million? Arthur Hayes Thinks It’s Coming

Christian Encila
Christian Encila
1 hour ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin

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According to Former BitMEX CEO and Maelstrom Fund manager Arthur Hayes, Bitcoin could hit $3.4 million By 2028. That figure sits on a chain of big assumptions about credit growth, debt buying and policy shifts.

Hayes pins his math to an estimated $15.3 trillion in combined Federal Reserve and commercial bank credit growth through 2028, with the Fed buying 50% of new Treasury debt and bank credit rising by $7.57 trillion.

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How The Fed Could Shift

Hayes argues that control of the Fed matters more than usual. He says US President Donald Trump’s team, led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, plans to reshape Federal Reserve policy through board picks and regulatory pressure.

The plan would need four seats on the Board of Governors to swing votes on short-term rates by using Interest on Reserve Balances rules.

Source: Arthur Hayes, Crypto Trader Digest

Hayes points to Governors Bowman and Waller and the newly confirmed Stephen Miran as potential allies, which he says brings the Trump camp to three supporters.

He also predicts pressure on Governor Lisa Cook, including a DOJ review of mortgage fraud claims that, Hayes says, could push her out by early 2026.

Reports say the administration aims to replace some regional Fed presidents around the February 2026 elections.

As promised “Four, Seven” discusses the Trump takeover of the Fed and is the corresponding essay to my KBW speech this morning.https://t.co/NV2XQei69d pic.twitter.com/9NKC8uq7An

— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) September 23, 2025

Stablecoin Flows And Eurodollar Fallout

According To Hayes, the broader funding shift would come from Eurodollars and foreign deposits. He estimates $10-13 trillion could be steered away from offshore dollar deposits by threats to withdraw US support during crises.

That money, plus other overseas holdings, forms what Hayes calls a $34 trillion pool of non-dollar deposits that stablecoin firms could target.

Source: Arthur Hayes, Crypto Trader Digest

He expects compliant stablecoin issuers such as Tether—who park reserves in US bank deposits and Treasury bills—to absorb much of that flow.

Hayes goes further, suggesting social media wallets could pull in $21 trillion in Global South retail deposits and that apps like WhatsApp might become a route for people to hold dollar-pegged stablecoins instead of local bank accounts.

BTCUSD now trading at $112,979. Chart: TradingView

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Stablecoins And Treasury Demand

Hayes outlines a mechanics of demand. If depositors shift into stablecoins that hold Treasuries and bank deposits, demand for short-term US paper could become less price-sensitive.

He says adding roughly $16.74 trillion in European bank deposits helps build a total addressable market of about $34 trillion for stablecoin conversion.

In that scenario, the Treasury could offer yields below Fed Funds and still find buyers—weakening central banks’ hands abroad and giving Washington new influence over short-term rates.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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Christian Encila
Christian Encila

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that's not just a metaphor, it's a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Read more

Christian's journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling - right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he's one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian's all work and no play? Not a chance! When he's not at his computer, you'll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian's got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here's the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day - and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors - and bosses - he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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