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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds

When Will The Bitcoin Bear Market End? US Mega Bank Has The Answer

Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson
1 year ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin bear market Small

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In a recent development, leading investment bank Morgan Stanley has weighed in on when the lingering Bitcoin bear market is likely to end. Interestingly, they share some similar views with analysts who have made predictions in the past. 

Bitcoin Halving A Major Factor

In an article released by the investment bank, Morgan Stanley highlighted Bitcoin’s importance as the leading crypto and how the Bitcoin Halving, which is set to take place in April 2024, could affect its price and other crypto tokens by extension. 

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Bitcoin halving is a deflationary measure that occurs every four years, during which the rewards of miners are ‘halved’, thereby creating scarcity. According to the bank, this event could potentially trigger a bull run as it has done in the past. 

The article further noted how there have been such bull runs in the past following the three halving events that have occurred and how the bull run lasted for 12 to 18 months after then. 

Morgan Stanley’s prediction echoes that of several crypto analysts who have predicted that the Bitcoin Halving could spark the next bull run. Specifically, the co-founder of Delphi Digital, Kevin Kell, while highlighting metrics that showed that the next bull run was close, noted that Bitcoin has broken to a new all-time high (ATH) seven months after the last two halvings occurred.

Understanding The Four Phases Of Crypto

While trying to avoid giving a definite time as to when to invest ahead of the next bull run, Morgan Stanley noted the importance of learning about the ‘four phases of cryptocurrency prices’ in order for one to make a conviction play as to the right time to invest. These four phases are said to correspond roughly to the four seasons of the year. 

The first phase is ‘Summer’ when Bitcoin experiences the most gains, which comes after the halving. The bull run is said to begin with the event and continue when Bitcoin’s price hits its prior peak. The next is the ‘Fall’ when the price “surpasses the old high.” This is the period when the bull market runs its full course after reaching a new high.

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After ‘Fall’ comes ‘Winter’, which is when the bear market surfaces as this is the period that investors are locking in their gains, resulting in a massive sell-off. This usually occurs between the “new peak and the next trough.” Historically, there have been three winters, with each of them lasting for about 13 months. 

‘Spring’ is the last phase in the cycle and the one that potentially kickstarts the next bull run (another Summer). This is the period “preceding each halving,’ when Bitcoin’s price “generally recovers from the cycle’s low point, but investor interest tends to be weak.”

By understanding these phases, crypto investors could be well-prepared to take advantage of the next bull run to make the most profits.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com (US mega bank Morgan Stanley Crypto bear market)

BTC continues recovery as sentiment recovers | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Forbes, chart from Tradingview.com
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Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson is a prominent crypto writer at NewsBTC with a knack for capturing the pulse of the market, covering pivotal shifts, technological advancements, and regulatory changes with precision. Having witnessed the evolving landscape of the crypto world firsthand, Scott is able to dissect complex crypto topics and present them in an accessible and engaging manner. Scott's dedication to clarity and accuracy has made him an indispensable asset, helping to demystify the complex world of cryptocurrency for countless readers.

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Scott’s experience spans a number of industries outside of crypto including banking and investment. He has brought his vast experience from these industries into crypto, which allows him to understand even the most complex topics and break them down in a way that is easy for readers from all works of life to understand. Scott’s pieces have helped to break down cryptocurrency processes and how they work, as well as the underlying groundbreaking technology that makes them so important to everyday life.

With years of experience in the crypto market, Scott began to focus on his true passion: writing. During this time, Scott has been able to author countless influential pieces that have drawn in millions of readers and have shaped public opinion across various important topics. His repertoire spans hundreds of articles on various sectors in the crypto industry, including decentralized finance (DeFi), decentralized exchanges (DEXes), Staking, Liquid Staking, emerging technologies, and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), among others.

Scott’s influence is not just limited to the countless discussions that his publications have sparked but also as a consultant for major projects in the space. He has consulted on issues ranging from crypto regulations to new technology deployment. Scott’s expertise also spans community building and contributes to a number of causes to further the development of the crypto industry.

Scott is an advocate for sustainable practices within the crypto industry and has championed discussions around green blockchain solutions. His ability to keep in line with market trends has made his work a favorite among crypto investors.
In his personal life, Scott is an avid traveler and his exposure to the world and various way of life has helped him to understand how important technologies like the blockchain and cryptocurrencies are. This has been key in his understanding of its global impact, as well as his ability to connect socio-economic developments to technological trends around the globe like no one else.

Scott is known for his work in community education to help people understand crypto technology and how its existence impacts their lives. He is a well-respected figure in his community, known for his work in helping to enlighten and inspire the next generation as they channel their energies into pressing issues. His work is a testament to his dedication and commitment to education and innovation, as well as the promotion of ethical practices in the rapidly developing world of cryptocurrencies.

Scott stands steady in the frontlines of the crypto revolution and is committed to helping to shape a future that promotes the development of technology in an ethical manner that translates to the benefit of all in the society.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

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