Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Are Buying Again — Can They Push BTC Price Higher?

Opeyemi Sule

3 months ago

3 mins read

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After a dreadful start to the week, the price of Bitcoin appears to be recovering nicely with a strong rally to begin the weekend. The latest on-chain data shows that a specific class of investors might be behind the relative stability experienced by the premier cryptocurrency amidst the recent macroeconomic chaos.

Seasoned Investors Are Loading Their Bags Again

In an April 11 post on X, crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci revealed that the Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs) might be getting more active in the market over the past few weeks. This on-chain observation is based on changes in the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change (30-day sum), a metric that tracks the net change in the BTC supply held by LTHs over a 30-day period.

This metric basically tracks the aggregated behavior of an important investor cohort, providing an insight into the overall sentiment in the market. When this metric is positive, it implies that the long-term holders are in the accumulation phase. On the flip side, when the net position change is negative, it means that Bitcoin LTHs are trimming their holdings and selling their BTC.

According to Kesmeci, the long-term investors have been offloading their Bitcoin in the past six months, as the LTH Net Position Change has remained in the negative zone since the last week of October 2024. The metric reached a negative peak level of 827,750 BTC on December 5, 2025, accompanied by a 32% decline in the Bitcoin price.

The chart above shows that the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change shifted to the positive territory on April 6, 2024, and appears to be on the rise at the moment. This positive change signals fresh buying amongst the seasoned investors over the past few weeks.

Kesmeci noted that the positive shift of the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change has coincided with a recent 12% jump in the Bitcoin price. The Bitcoin price returned above $81,000 after United States President Donald Trump paused trade tariffs on imports from all countries except China.

Kesmeci added in the post:

Time will tell whether this is just a reactionary bounce or the early stages of a longer bullish phase. However, the metric continuing to remain in the positive region with acceleration could be an important “trend change signal” for us.

Nevertheless, the on-chain analyst urged investors to approach the market with caution, as the current momentum is not sufficient. Hence, further conviction is needed from the long-term investors to sustain a major rally in the current market state.

Bitcoin Price Overview

As of this writing, the premier cryptocurrency is valued at around $83,400, reflecting an almost 5% increase in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, BTC has barely changed in the past seven days. However, this record doesn’t quite tell the full story, as the Bitcoin price had fallen to around $74,000 at the beginning of the week.

Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Opeyemi Sule

Opeyemi is a proficient writer and enthusiast in the exciting and unique cryptocurrency realm. While the digital asset industry was not his first choice, he has remained absolutely drawn since making a foray into the space over two years. Now, Opeyemi takes pride in creating unique pieces unraveling the complexities of blockchain technology and sharing insights on the latest trends in the world of cryptocurrencies.

Opeyemi savors his attraction to the crypto market, which explains why he spends the better parts of his day looking through different price charts. “Looking” is a rather simple way to describe analyzing and interpreting various price patterns and chart formations. However, it appears that is not Opeyemi’s favorite part - in fact, far from it.

Being able to connect what happens on a price chart to on-chain movements and blockchain activities is what keeps Opeyemi ticking. “This emphasizes the intricacies of blockchain technology and the cryptocurrency market,” he would say. Most importantly, Opeyemi thinks of any market insights as the gospel, while recognizing that he is only a messenger.

When he is not clicking away at his keyboard, Opeyemi is most definitely listening to music, playing games, reading a book, or scrolling through X. He likes to think he is not loyal to a particular genre of music, which can be true on many days. However, the fast-rising Afrobeats genre is a staple in Opeyemi’s Spotify Daily Mix.

Meanwhile, Opeyemi is a voracious reader who enjoys a wide category of books - ranging from science fiction, fantasy, and historical, to even romance. He believes that authors like George R. R. Martin and J. K.
Rowling are the greatest of all time when it comes to putting pen to paper. Opeyemi believes his reading of the Harry Potter series twice is proof of that.

Indeed, Opeyemi enjoys spending most of his time within the four walls of his home. However, he also sometimes finds solace in the company of his friends at a bar, a restaurant, or even on a stroll. In essence, Opeyemi’s ambivert (haha! been searching for an opportunity to use the word to describe myself) nature makes him a social chameleon who is able to quickly adapt to different settings.

Opeyemi recognizes the need to constantly develop oneself in order to stay afloat in a competitive and ever-evolving market like crypto. For this reason, he is always in learning mode, ready to pick up the slightest lesson from every situation. Opeyemi is efficient and likes to deliver all that is required of him in time - he believes that “whatever is worth doing at all is worth doing well.” Hence, you will always find him striving to be better.

Ultimately, Opeyemi is a good writer and an even better person who is trying to shed light on an exciting world phenomenon - cryptocurrency. He goes to bed every day with a smile of satisfaction on his face, knowing that he has done his bit of the holy assignment - spreading the crypto gospel to the rest of the world.

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