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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds

PlanB: S2F Model Predicts Bitcoin To Break $100k By Christmas

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
1 year ago
3 mins read

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PlanB, the popularizer behind the Bitcoin S2F method, says the model predicts BTC will break $100k by this Christmas.

The Bitcoin Stock-To-Flow Model

According to PlanB on Twitter, the BTC stock-to-flow (or S2F in short) model predicts that the cryptocurrency is on its way to break $100k by Christmas.

The S2F model is a method to predict the price of an asset based on the ratio of the stock (supply) to the flow (annual production).

PlanB is commonly known as the originator of the model, which is, however, not true. The method was already used for other assets like gold or silver before the analyst only popularized it for Bitcoin.

The S2F value of an asset can show how scarce the commodity is. The model uses a formula to relate that value with the price of the asset, which in this case is BTC.

Related Reading | Ethereum Issuance Drops Below Bitcoin’s For the First Time, Why This May Lead to a New Rally

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend of BTC’s price vs what’s predicted by the model:

Bitcoin PlanB S2F

Along with the S2F model, the Time Model is also depicted | Source: PlanB

As the above graph shows, the Bitcoin price as predicted by the model seems to be remarkably close to the real thing so far.

There are a few points of deviation, but the overall trend seems to be quite similar. Now, if the price follows the pattern going forward, BTC’s value should go up soon, reaching over $100k by Christmas.

Related Reading | Stablecoins Reserve Hits A New ATH, What Does It Mean For Bitcoin’s Price?

Besides the S2F model, there is also the curve for the Time Model in the chart. This “Time Model” is a method that takes into account diminishing returns and lengthening cycles while predicting the price.

According to this other model, the price should be around $30k by Christmas. PlanB, however, believes that this method underestimates Bitcoin’s value, and the S2F model is more accurate.

BTC’s Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $47.8k, down 4% in the last 7 days. Over the past month, the cryptocurrency has increased 14% in price.

The below chart shows the trend in the coin’s value over the last three months.

Bitcoin Price Chart

BTC's price catches a downtrend | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

After breaking above the $49k price mark again yesterday, Bitcoin has started to sharply fall down. It looks like the cryptocurrency is in a range market right now as the coin’s price continues to swing between $45k-$50k.

It’s unclear where BTC might head next, but if the S2F model holds any weight, the crypto might be moving big soon in order to reach $100k by Christmas.

Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from PlanBTC.com, TradingView.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Read more

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

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