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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

The On-Chain Metric That Says Bitcoin Is About To Go “Parabolic”

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
3 years ago
2 mins read
bitcoin bull flag

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After closing its best highest week since its inception, the bulls remain in control of the price of Bitcoin. At press time, BTC’s price trade at $61,386 with a 3.8% profit in the daily and a 12.3% profit in the weekly chart.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC moving sideways in the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

In the crypto top 10, only Dogecoin (DOGE) and Binance Coin (BNB) have outperformed Bitcoin as this asset’s dominance over the crypto market continues to rise.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Price Smashes Record For Highest Weekly Candle Close Ever

The general sentiment amongst traders and operators seems bullish with potential FOMO coming in the coming weeks if Bitcoin can score a new all time high beyond $64,500.

In that sense, research firm Santiment records no spike in BTC’s Weighted Social Sentiment, a metric used to track social media and measure market sentiment. As seen below, this metric stands almost flat as Bitcoin reclaims previous highs.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Santiment

As the chart suggest, there seems to be a correlation between Bitcoin and its social media sentiment. When the metric experiences sudden spikes, BTC’s price trends to the downside most likely driven by short-term investors that enter the crypto market to make a quick profit.

Related Reading | Number Of Bitcoin Whales On The Rise As BTC Chases New All-Time High

Lately, the correlation has inverse as Bitcoin moves higher, its Weighted Social Sentiment trend lower. Santiment noted the following:

(…) traders are showing a surprisingly low level of excitement. With euphoric commentary being tempered, it’s a good sign that prices can break records in the near future without #FOMO halting momentum.

Bitcoin Loaded With Rocket Fuel

On the possibility of BTC’s price returning into uncharted territory, Charles Edwards, founder at Capriole Investments, reiterated his bullish stance.

As NewsBTC reported, two months ago when Bitcoin was trading at $45,000, Edwards reported that his Hash Ribbons indicator went bullish. Used to track BTC miner activity, this indicator flashes a buy signal when a capitulation event has concluded leading into a rally.

On this occasion, Edwards showed the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator, a metric used to measure if BTC’s price is at under or over value, has reached 3.0.

As seen below, when Bitcoin’s MVRV stands at these levels, it has usually followed with a rally. In 2013 and 2017, the chart indicates, BTC’s price reached its all-time high prices in the coming months after the metric entered its current levels.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Glassnode via Charles Edwards

In the short term, bulls could face some headwind as the derivatives sector start to heat up. Analyst Ali Martinez records a 5-month high in BTC Futures Open Interest standing at $22 billion.

Related Reading | TA: Bitcoin Gearing For Lift-Off to $65K: Rally Isn’t Over Yet

In addition, on-chain activity declining in combination with a 98.34% of BTC’s total supply at unrealized profit suggest potential downside risk, as Martinez added.

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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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NewsBTC is a cryptocurrency news service that covers bitcoin news today, technical analysis & forecasts for bitcoin price and other altcoins. Here at NewsBTC, we are dedicated to enlightening everyone about bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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