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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions

Crypto Analyst: Bitcoin Price Drop Below $10,000 Was a Bear Trap

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
Last Updated: September 6, 2019 4:06 pm
3 mins read
bitcoin price bear trap

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Last week, Bitcoin price fell below $10,000 yet again, and with the break of support, much of the market turned bearish and began calling for lows around $8,000 to be tested. However, before the long Labor Day weekend concluded, Bitcoin price was back well above $10,000, and is already closing in on $11,000 not even 24 hours later.

The fast movement back up without any resistance has left traders scratching their heads, but one crypto analyst explains that the move was nothing but a bull trap, and bears are now trapped in shorts below support that never quite turned resistance.

Bitcoin Price Action: Bears Trapped in Latest Move Below Support at $10,000

There are many different types of Bitcoin trading strategies. Swing traders tend to sell high and buy low, with few trades in between. Breakout traders wait for a chart pattern or support or resistance to fail before taking a position. It’s the latter that was targeted in this latest bear trap, according to one crypto analyst.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Rejected By High Timeframe Resistance, Here’s What To Possibly Expect 

Last week after repeatedly tested support at $10,000 failed once again, Bitcoin price fell sharply to the mid-$9,000 range where it chopped for roughly 72 hours before it turned right back around and is now at a price even higher than when the breakdown first began.

$BTC

$10k level that was broken support failed to provide resistance when retested.

This is usually evidence of a trap (bearish continuation sellers on the S/R flip caught offside).

HTF directional bias favours upside, clearing $10,460s (intraday range high) would cement that. pic.twitter.com/dSFzeO64ks

— Cred (@CryptoCred) September 3, 2019

However, that support never flipped into resistance, so on the way back up it posed little challenge for Bitcoin to get through. Bearish breakout traders who entered shorts after the support failed are now trapped below that support in short positions that are either already closed at a loss, stopped out, or open and the trader is sweating it out while the position is underwater.

The analyst also says that high timeframe “directional bias” favors further upside movement, especially if $10,460 was broken above. At the time of this writing, Bitcoin price is trading at over $10,600, which means that if the analyst is correct, Bitcoin price will continue to trend higher and higher from here.

Related Reading | Livermore Accumulation Cylinder Suggests Bitcoin To Set New ATH Next Rally

Prices below $9,000 remain extremely attractive for crypto investors hoping to buy the dip and margin traders looking for what could be the long position of a lifetime. Especially if from here Bitcoin resumes its bull run, sets a new all-time high, and potentially reaches prices of $100,000 to millions per BTC someday.

$BTCUSD, 1D, RSI
Every time, when there is a breakout of the RSI resistance trend, bitcoin rises.
We just had another breakout.
Bullish.$BTC #bitcoin pic.twitter.com/YIoJIL5utc

— CryptoHamster (@CryptoHamsterIO) September 3, 2019

Supporting that theory is a break out of Bitcoin’s 1D RSI. This move helped Bitcoin break out from a trendline keeping the relative strength index at bay. The last few instances of this occurring led to sharp rallies in Bitcoin price charts.

Now that the bear trap is out of the way, could a bull run or bull trap be next?

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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

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Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

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