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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Crypto Watch: Why Today’s FOMC Meeting Is The ‘Most Important Of Your Life’

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
11 months ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin news Fed Jerome Powell

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For the crypto and broader financial market, FOMC day is upon us once again today. And analysts agree that today’s meeting will be one of the most important in recent years. Kurt S. Altrichter, a financial advisor and founder of Ivory Hill, even describes today’s FOMC meeting as the “most important of your life.” In a new post on X, Altrichter explains why.

FOMC Preview

Central to today’s FOMC meeting is the Federal Reserve’s potential indication of a September rate cut. According to Altrichter, the financial markets are almost unanimously anticipating this move, with Fed fund futures indicating a near-certain likelihood of such an outcome. “Market expectation is a strong signal for a September rate cut,” Altrichter points out, marking today’s update as a pivotal moment for financial markets.

The key question for today is: “How strongly does the Fed signal a September rate cut?” the expert explains. Investors are directed to pay close attention to the FOMC’s statement at 2:00 pm ET, especially the third paragraph, which could subtly signal the Fed’s confidence in reaching its inflation targets.

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Altrichter advises, “Look at the 3rd paragraph for this key sentence: The Committee does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent.” Any modification in this wording would be a clear signal that the Fed is nearing its inflation control goals, potentially paving the way for rate adjustments.

Altrichter outlines several potential outcomes from the meeting, each associated with specific market reactions. In a dovish scenario, the Fed signals a rate cut for September. Then, Altrichter expects a broad market rally, especially in sectors less sensitive to interest rates. “Yields and the dollar should fall modestly with a modest rally in commodities,” Altrichter predicts, suggesting significant movements in standard and sector-specific indexes.

In a hawkish scenario, there will be no change in the forward guidance by the US central bank. If the Fed maintains its current stance without hinting at future cuts, the markets might experience a downturn. “Look out below and expect a sharp decline. SPX should fall by 1-2%,” he warns, noting that tech and growth sectors might relatively outperform due to their appeal during higher yield periods.

How Will Bitcoin And Crypto React?

The potential adjustments in US monetary policy bear direct consequences for the Bitcoin and crypto markets. Crypto, often viewed as alternative investments, reacts sensitively to shifts in monetary policy, particularly regarding interest rates.

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If the dovish scenario materializes, this could make Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies more appealing. A signal of lower future rates could drive increased investment into the crypto market, potentially leading to price increases as investors seek higher returns in alternative assets.

Conversely, should the Fed signal reluctance to cut rates, indicating a stronger economic outlook or concerns about inflation, this could strengthen the US dollar and increase yields on traditional financial instruments. Such an environment might lead to a pullback in the crypto markets, as the comparative advantage of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies diminishes against strengthening traditional yields.

Max Schwartzman, CEO of Because Bitcoin Inc, commented via X: “FOMC is [today] & its incredibly important as we get into the end of this fed cycle… Here is how the last 11 meetings have gone for Bitcoin…”

How Bitcoin reacted the last 11 times
How Bitcoin reacted the last 11 times | Source: X @MaxBecauseBTC

Thus, today’s FOMC meeting is a watershed moment for financial markets globally, with significant implications for both traditional and crypto markets. As Altrichter succinctly puts it, “A Sept Fed rate cut has driven the 2024 bull market. Tomorrow’s meeting will either reinforce that tailwind or refute it. If the Fed signals a cut, the rally continues. No signal: markets could get ugly.”

At press time, BTC traded at $66,462.

Bitcoin price
BTC bounces off the 20-day EMA, 1-week chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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