Double Bottom On The Dollar Could Be The End Of Bitcoin Rally

Tony "The Bull" Severino

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Bitcoin, Ethereum, and just about every other asset on the planet trades against the dollar on its most liquid trading pair, and the greenback is the base currency that all exchanges rates are based on. The power and influence of the almighty dollar cannot be understated, and the crypto market could soon feel the surprising sting of the global reserve currency.

A double bottom could be forming on the dollar, with a hidden bullish signal that could bring a hurting to the currently overheated stock and crypto market. Here’s a closer at the double bottom formation that could put a stop to Bitcoin’s bull market.

Double-Bottom Forms On The Dollar Currency Index

The slow death of the dollar has let equities and crypto assets like Bitcoin fly like never before, during a time when the economy was on pause and unemployment was climbing. Stimulus money kept things afloat, while those who didn’t need the money for essentials bought shares of GameSpot and hundreds of thousands of DOGE.

The soaring market caps of assets everywhere was a glaring sign that inflation was getting out of hand, and the US government has been taking steps to reel things in. And it has already taken a toll on Bitcoin, resulting in the top cryptocurrency returning to below $55,000.

Recent comments about stock market “froth,” “risk appetite,” and a random warning today from the SEC that Bitcoin is a “highly speculative” asset are suspect in terms of timing.

At the same time, an Adam and Eve double bottom could be forming on the DXY Dollar Currency Index, and it is ready to take a dent out of crypto gains.

Is an Adam and Eve bottom forming on the dollar? | Source: DXY on TradingView.com

Why Bitcoin Could Be In Trouble If The Greenback Bounces

An Adam and Eve double bottom is a rare structure that results in new highs. Failure, sends the asset tumbling even lower than the support level that greenback bulls are attempting to confirm as ironclad.

This type of double bottom structure is also found on the likes of Litecoin and other cryptocurrency price charts.

Superimposing the Bitcoin price chart specifically over the same DXY price chart, with the logarithmic MACD activated, things become more clear regarding the bearish change in trend that could be taking place.

Bitcoin could be due for a reversal if the DXY rips higher | Source: DXY on TradingView.com

The last major rebound and bullish crossover in the DXY also was the peak of the 2017 bull market. The dollar bounced sharply, while the first ever cryptocurrency started a bear market.

This time around, the dollar is taking its sweet time in turning around, forming a short-term double-bottom in addition to the longer-term one dating back to the last cycle top.

There’s also a hidden bullish divergence forming on the LMACD, all while Bitcoin grinds at resistance, struggles with $60,000, and rare top signals have appeared. Is this the end of the Bitcoin bull run already, or will the dollar’s attempt to get back on its feet fall flat on its green back?

Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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