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While Ethereum (ETH) is at a pivotal crossroads, some analysts suggest that a reclaim of a key resistance could open the door to a massive breakout. However, others have raised questions about the altcoin’s next move amid the recent market volatility and weak signals.
Ethereum Breakout: ‘A Matter Of When’
Ethereum has found a new price range after turning the $2,250 level into support during the April market recovery. The cryptocurrency has been trading between the $2,250-$2,400 levels over the past few weeks, reaching a three-month high of $2,465 on April 17.
In an X post, analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlighted ETH’s recent performance, asserting that its upward price pattern held, despite the price being rejected from the $2,400 resistance, a key psychological and technical barrier that has stopped prior rallies.
As he explained, “Structure remains intact, and multiple resistance tests have failed to break through, suggesting a breakout is looming.” To him, a breakout from the local resistance area is “a matter of when (…) and not if.”
The analyst recently stated that the King of Altcoins could be “about to follow Bitcoin in the path upwards,” which would open the gate for a retest of the next crucial resistance around the $2,700 area.
Meanwhile, market observer Ali Martinez shared an analysis based on the MVRV pricing bands, noting that Ethereum has been attempting to reclaim its Realized Price, currently at $2,335, as support.
He explained that successfully turning this level into a support floor is a “standard technical prerequisite” for a sustained rally, and reclaiming the cost basis has historically helped build the momentum to reach the 2.4MVRV pricing band at the $5,600 mark.
According to the post, ETH needs continuation of the strength seen during the early April recovery rally to reclaim its Realized Price and open the gates to a 140% rally over time. “If ETH can claim this $2,335 level and establish it as a support floor, it creates the structural conditions to target that upper $5,600 band,” he affirmed.
ETH Weakness Risks 17% Correction
On Wednesday morning, Ethereum attempted to recover from the start-of-the-week price drop and reclaim the $2,300 area. Amid this performance, Crypto Batman highlighted that ETH had broken down from a two-week pennant pattern after losing the $2,320 support line, suggesting that the short-term trend had shifted bearish.
The analyst cautioned that failing to reclaim the bullish trendline and the bearish FVG would open the door for lower levels. Similarly, Ted Pillows warned that Ethereum has shown weakness amid the current rally, highlighting that it needs to reclaim the $2,400 area for a strong continuation.
On the contrary, failure to reclaim this level risks turning the current pump into exit liquidity, he affirmed, potentially triggering another sharp pullback. The market watcher also stated that ETH could see a considerable decline over the next few days due to Wednesday’s FOMC meeting.
Notably, the King of Altcoins has retraced after each meeting since October 2025, dropping 17% to 42% in the following days. After today’s meeting, the altcoin fell to a two-week low of $2,220, recording a 5% intraday drop before slightly recovering.
If history repeats itself, Ethereum could lose the $2,200 support and potentially target the $2,000 psychological barrier for the first time in a month.
