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Ethereum Holds Above MVRV Band Low – A Final Dip Before Recovery?

Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte
1 month ago
3 mins read
Ethereum Holds Above MVRV Band Low – A Final Dip Before Recovery?

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Ethereum is trading at key levels as price action consolidates above the $1,500 mark. After weeks of high volatility and macro-driven selling pressure, ETH is showing signs of stability — and analysts are watching closely. A breakout above nearby resistance could signal the start of a recovery rally, especially if momentum continues to build in the days ahead.

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However, not all market watchers are convinced. Some analysts believe Ethereum may still face another leg down before a true reversal can begin. According to on-chain data from Glassnode, the MVRV Pricing Bands — which reflect market-wide cost basis and investor sentiment — highlight the next major support around $1,367. Historically, buying ETH below this lower MVRV band has offered strong long-term returns, but also coincided with peak market fear.

For now, Ethereum appears to be at a crossroads. A decisive move above short-term resistance could attract sidelined buyers and shift sentiment bullish. But failing to hold current levels could lead to a retest of lower support zones. The coming days may prove pivotal in defining Ethereum’s medium-term trend — and whether the bulls are truly ready to return.

Ethereum Tests Market Nerves As MVRV Signals Opportunity

This is a critical week for Ethereum, as price action will determine whether the recent consolidation above $1,500 can hold — or if further declines are on the horizon. Global tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty continue to pressure markets, with the ongoing U.S.-China trade war and instability in equities shaking investor confidence. While traditional markets tremble, crypto assets are showing early signs of decoupling. Ethereum, in particular, appears to be stabilizing and finding demand in the face of broader risk-off sentiment.

Despite the volatility, some analysts believe the worst may be behind for Ethereum — or at least that current prices offer compelling risk-reward setups. Top analyst Ali Martinez shared insights on X, noting that historically, buying Ethereum below the lower MVRV Pricing Band has delivered strong returns. That key level, based on on-chain cost-basis data, now sits at $1,367.

Ethereum MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands | Source: Ali Martinez on X
Ethereum MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands | Source: Ali Martinez on X

The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Pricing Bands help identify overvalued and undervalued conditions by comparing ETH’s market price to its realized price — the average acquisition cost for all ETH on the network. When ETH trades below the lower band, it suggests the asset is undervalued and often precedes price rebounds.

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Ethereum Analyst Sets $3,000 Target As Price Action Signals Momentum – Details

Ethereum Analyst Sets $3,000 Target As Price Action Signals Momentum – Details

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If Ethereum holds current support and reclaims momentum above resistance zones, a recovery rally may follow. But if bearish sentiment regains control, a retest of the $1,367 MVRV support level could come fast. Either way, Ethereum’s price action this week will be key to understanding whether the market is shifting toward strength — or preparing for another leg down.

ETH Price Holds Key Support, Market Awaits Breakout

Ethereum (ETH) is currently trading at $1,620 after several days of sideways action, struggling to push above the $1,700 resistance level. Despite the lack of a breakout, ETH has shown resilience by holding firmly above the $1,550 support zone, a level that has acted as a floor during recent volatility.

ETH trading in a tight range | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
ETH trading in a tight range | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

A decisive move is likely approaching. If bulls manage to reclaim the $1,800 level — where the 4-hour 200 MA and EMA converge — momentum could accelerate, setting the stage for a push toward the critical $2,000 psychological and technical resistance. Reclaiming that level would confirm a bullish trend reversal and likely spark renewed confidence across the altcoin market.

On the other hand, if Ethereum fails to maintain its footing above $1,550 and selling pressure increases, a break below $1,400 would confirm a continuation of the broader downtrend. Such a move would test lower demand zones, with $1,367 — the lower MVRV Pricing Band — seen by some analysts as the next key support.

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As price remains compressed within a tight range, market participants are watching closely for a breakout in either direction that will define the next major move for Ethereum.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies.

Read more

To share his insights with others, Sebastian became an active contributor to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn. His focus on fintech and crypto-related topics quickly established him as a trusted voice in the online crypto community. Sebastian's goal was to educate and inform his audience about the latest trends and insights in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance. The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology.

Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K reports, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance.

Sebastian's journey as a crypto pioneer has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable contributor to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and helping to shape the future of this revolutionary technology.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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