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While 2018 was most certainly a bear market for Bitcoin and crypto assets, 2019 has been mostly a bull market or at least the beginning stages of one. The latest in the growing list of signs the leading crypto asset by market cap is building a bullish foundation and will rise to new all-time highs, is a “golden cross” on three-day Bitcoin price charts.
The last time this occurred, was in February 2016, and from there, Bitcoin went on to bring investors a 4,900% return on investment. Could the same happen for Bitcoin once again?
Bitcoin Price 3-Day Charts Signals Golden Cross
Bitcoin price has just triggered a “golden cross” on its three-day price charts, and the entire crypto world is enthusiastic that this could mean that Bitcoin is about to begin a true bull run, and based on past experience, investors are rightfully excited.
BULLISH: The 50MA crossed above the 200MA on the 3-day BTC/USD chart, forming a so-called golden cross. The last time this happened was in February 2016. pic.twitter.com/WplNLcuTmc
— Bitstamp (@Bitstamp) August 2, 2019
A “golden cross” occurs when a shorter-term moving average, in this case, Bitcoin’s 50-week moving average, crosses above a longer-term moving average, or again with Bitcoin the 200-week moving average.
A golden cross is a powerfully bullish signal, and typically is a sign for investors that the asset is about to embark on a bull run. The opposite – a “death cross” – is a signal that a downtrend or bear market is ahead.
Following a long, arduous bear market, crypto investors are right to be enthusiastic about the bullish signal, but caution is necessary. Bitcoin in the past has formed a golden cross, only to then death cross, and then golden cross back once again before the last bull market truly kicked off.
Related Reading | NVT Ratio: Top Predicting Signal Hits Highest Peak, Is a 50% Drop Ahead?
Because there is a chance this could happen again, and history has a way of repeating itself, investors should proceed with caution.
Last Golden Cross Brought BTC Holders 4,900% Returns
However, if the golden cross stands, and doesn’t do another infamous death-cross fakeout, Bitcoin could go on to bring investors returns that are typically unheard of in most asset classes.
Related Reading | Next Big Move For Bitcoin Price: Will The Infamous Golden Cross Fakeout Strike Again?
After the last golden cross in February 2016, when Bitcoin was priced at just about $400 per BTC, the crypto asset went on to bring 4,900% in returns as it peaked at $20,000.
A similar rise percentage-wise would put Bitcoin price above $500,000 per BTC, but could take years to achieve that. From the time that Bitcoin signaled the golden cross to the top of the hype bubble was roughly a year and a half, which might suggest that it will top in December 2020.
Given how massive the market cap of BTC would need to be to achieve such a number, seeing that type of return again is highly unlikely, but also given Bitcoin’s ability to surprise people, anything is possible.
