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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Crypto Confusion: Long-Legged Doji Across Altcoin Market Hints At Trend Change

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
5 years ago
3 mins read
crypto altcoin confusion

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The altcoin market continues to vastly underperform against Bitcoin, however, the candle close last night on monthly and weekly timeframes hints at widespread investor confusion over what happens next across the crypto asset class.

Indecision Evident On Total Altcoin Market Trading Against Bitcoin

Over the weekend, altcoins showed strong performance against Bitcoin. Ethereum closed the daily recently with an over 10% return, while Bitcoin fell far behind.

However, altcoins like Ethereum and countless others are still so far behind Bitcoin. Altcoins that fell just as hard as Bitcoin from all-time high prices have recovered nowhere nearly as much.

Altcoins haven’t even recovered as well as Bitcoin from the highs set prior to the Black Thursday market collapse.

Related Reading | Ethereum Chart Makes It Clear: Altcoin Season Is Already Over 

All throughout 2020, there have been signs and glimmers that an altcoin season may be underway, but each new volatile move in Bitcoin keeps them treading water.

Even over the weekend, the altcoin rally was cut short when Bitcoin blasted back to $9700 momentarily before it was rejected back to prices below.

Continued altcoin underperformance has crypto investors fearing that former highs will never return. But prices have also failed to set new lows.

What’s left behind, are indecision candles on multiple timeframes via a pair of long-legged doji.

crypto altcoins long legged doji bitcoin btc

Decision Time: Crypto Trend Change May Be Here, According to Long-Legged Doji

On the Altcoin/BTC trading pair on TradingView, last night’s weekly and monthly close, both left behind a long-legged doji candle.

According to the study of Japanese candlesticks, this type of doji “signals indecision about the future direction of the underlying security.” Long-legged doji form when the price of an asset opens and closes at roughly the same level. Yet unlike regular doji candles, the wicks are notably long.

These candlestick patterns can warn traders that a trend change is coming after a strong advance or decline. Investopedia says that long-legged doji “are deemed to be most significant when they occur during a strong uptrend or downtrend.”

“The long-legged doji suggests that the forces of supply and demand are nearing equilibrium and that a trend reversal may occur,” the website explains.

Japanese candlesticks are given more weight when they appear on higher timeframes, such as monthly or weekly price charts. In this unique case both the weekly and monthly price charts on the Altcoin/BTC trading pair depict this indecision candle.

The Altcoin/BTC trading pair takes the total altcoin market cap sans Bitcoin and weighs it against BTC in an inverse dominance chart.

Related Reading | Major Crypto Assets Are Preparing For Powerful Volatility Against Bitcoin 

Because this includes all other altcoins against Bitcoin, it isn’t clear which altcoins, if any, may experience a reversal against the number one cryptocurrency by market cap. That is if a reversal happens at all.

An explosive move in altcoins against Bitcoin is expected in one direction or the other, as these assets are showing the tightest Bollinger Band Widths in recent history. This behavior often proceeds an explosive break in volatility, so a decision could be made in the coming month or week ahead.

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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

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The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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