Solana Seeing Dark Clouds? Trader Predicts Steady Bottom Formation

Christian Encila

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Solana (SOL) has been making positive noise recently with a surge in its price. However, one crypto strategist known as Altcoin Sherpa on the social media platform X, believes that the euphoria may be short-lived.

Despite last week’s notable rally, Altcoin Sherpa argues that Solana is still trapped in a downtrend, casting doubts on the sustainability of its current momentum.

Altcoin Sherpa points out a critical resistance level at approximately $19.50 that Solana must overcome to change its trajectory. The crypto analyst highlights a concerning pattern: Solana has been consistently forming lower highs since reaching its 2023 peak of $32.30 back in July. This pattern suggests that each attempted rally has been met with increasing selling pressure, raising questions about the strength of the recent recovery.

Altcoin Sherpa advises caution for those considering entering the market, stating:

“It’s nice to see some recovery, but every rally in the last few weeks has resulted in just a lower high. Regardless, if you’re in it for an investment, it can’t be bad to accumulate sub-$20.”

Currently, Solana is trading at $19.12, according to CoinGecko, showing a modest 1.1% gain in the last 24 hours and a seven-day rally of 4.5%.

Solana Support Hinges On FTX Liquidation

In the event that SOL’s latest rally loses steam, Altcoin Sherpa identifies the $14 level as a potential support zone. However, he underscores a crucial factor that could influence Solana’s fate in the short term—the imminent liquidation of a massive Solana stash held by the troubled crypto exchange FTX, amounting to a staggering $1.16 billion. The outcome of this liquidation could significantly impact Solana’s price stability.

SOL market cap currently at $8.08 billion. Chart: TradingView.com

Supporting Altcoin Sherpa’s bearish outlook is an analysis of key technical indicators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating a decline in momentum, hinting at a potential downturn for Solana. Furthermore, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has ventured into the negative territory, providing additional validation for the bearish sentiment.

If selling pressure continues to intensify, Solana’s price could test the psychological level of $18.00, hovering around the midline of its current trading channel. In a more dire scenario, SOL could plunge even further to reach the lower boundary of the channel at $17.29.

The quantity of long positions that have already been liquidated is 45 times that of short positions, according to the liquidation statistics provided by CoinGlass.

Source: Coinglass

Potential Turning Point

However, there is a glimmer of hope for Solana investors. In the worst-case scenario, if the downtrend persists, Solana’s price could eventually find support in the demand zone, marked by the last candlestick before the remarkable July uptrend began. This area tends to attract buyers and might serve as a potential turning point for SOL’s fortunes.

While Solana’s recent rally has generated excitement, caution is advised, as technical indicators and market dynamics point towards a possible continuation of the downtrend. The crypto world remains as unpredictable as ever, and investors should carefully consider their options before diving in.

(This site’s content should not be construed as investment advice. Investing involves risk. When you invest, your capital is subject to risk).

Featured image from Adobe Stock

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that's not just a metaphor, it's a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Christian's journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling - right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he's one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian's all work and no play? Not a chance! When he's not at his computer, you'll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian's got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here's the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day - and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors - and bosses - he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.