The Level Bitcoin Bulls Must Reclaim To Defend The Worst Monthly Selloff Ever

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Last Updated: June 11, 2024 1:55 pm

3 mins read

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Bitcoin price collapsed by more than 50% from its recent highs set only one month ago. The sharp decline now represents that largest drop in the history of the cryptocurrency – but there’s still several days left for the monthly candle to close.

That means bulls can undo the damage done by the recent crash, and keep the structure of the bull market intact. To do so, however, the price per BTC must climb back to a key level now lost, and it must do it before the month comes to an end.

Why Bitcoin Bulls Were Blindside By The Biggest Monthly Selloff Ever

Bitcoin price was in an uptrend for over a year, capped off by the introduction of Coinbase Global on the Nasdaq stock market. Exuberance at the time was as high, driven by a potential “new paradigm” in crypto.

Wall Street and institutions were finally here. There was no way the market would correct, according to the crowd. Yet it did and because no one saw it coming it was especially disastrous. Over-leveraged longs were wiped out to the tune of billions, and those that were overexposed in other ways quickly regretted it.

Edwards' custom tool shows the worst month on record | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The blitzkrieg resulted in the worst ever monthly candle on record, according to Bitcoin expert Charles Edwards. Edwards is responsible for creating some of the greatest tools in crypto, such as the Hash Ribbons indicator.

His custom “drop %” tool shows how bloody things got (pictured above), but other analysts were quick to argue that there’s still time left in the monthly to change the data.

Evening Star Pattern: Can Crypto Bulls Undo The Damage Done?

This also means that bulls have a chance to undo the devastating candlestick pattern that’s been left on the price chart of Bitcoin. A slow month in April with very little movement resulted in a red doji candle at the height of an uptrend, followed by an enormous showing by bears.

The pattern is called an “evening star pattern” and is a reversal of epic proportions, often signaling more red to follow. However, if bulls can leave a wick behind measuring roughly 50% of the red candle, it can also be quite a statement.

Bulls have to close above here to undo the pattern | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

If Bitcoin price can close back the monthly candle above around $45,000 the evening star pattern will be defended for now. The next monthly candle will need to be green to ensure the bull market is still intact, otherwise, bears will complete the pattern in their follow up.

Related Reading | Building The Case That The Bitcoin Bottom Is In

Closing above the level could also keep the monthly RSI in the bull market territory, preventing a larger breakdown and fall into a bear market.

Can Bitcoin bulls undo the worst monthly candle on record?

Featured image from iStockPhotos, Charts from TradingView.com

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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