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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Why Bitcoin Could Rise To $53K, Here Are The Risks Bulls Must Overcome

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
1 year ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD

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Bitcoin is moving sideways in lower timeframes as the crypto markets continue to run without a clear direction. The first cryptocurrency by market cap trades at $47,837 with a 1.2% loss in the daily chart.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC moving sideways in the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

BTC’s price has been moving in a tight range during the week, unable to break above $48,500. Data from Santiment suggest an increase in the amount of BTC’s supply exchanging hands since the beginning of September.

This suggests that investors could be taking more profits as Bitcoin tries to take previous highs contributing to the bears’ attempts to take over the market.

As seen below, the BTC Token Circulation metric can be used to find a correlation between the price action and the amount of supply exchanging moving on the network. The firm said:

Bitcoin now sits at $48.1k following a volatile couple of weeks to open September. Notably, the amount of unique tokens moving on the $BTC network, known as token circulation, is up big. Wednesday saw 187.91 unique coins moved, the most since July 29.

BTC BTCUSD
Source: Santiment

For Analyst Justin Bennet, BTC’s price broke its upward trend during last week’s selloff. In that sense, the analyst found similarities between this event with May’s price action, when Bitcoin experience the first of several capitulation events.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Suffers As Mid Caps Cryptos Establish Market Dominance With Wide Margin

The $48,000 to $50,000 region is critical for the bulls, if BTC’s price managed to take over the latter, Bennet expects a resume of the bullish momentum. Otherwise, Bitcoin is at risk of returning to the $40,000 lows. The analyst said:

Until then (BTC back to $50,000), I’ll continue to believe that this week is a corrective move before the next selloff toward $40,000. It’s the same pattern as late April and early May.

A Turbulent Week For Bitcoin And The Crypto Market

In addition to the increase in profit-taking by investors, the current week has seen some hurdles in prominent crypto projects and crypto-based companies. In addition to the threat of legal action from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to Coinbase, Tether had to clarified rumors about the assets backing USDT.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Price “Pitchfork Channel” Could Pin-Point The Last Dip Ever

On the other hand, a report by QCP Capital records a “quiet week” in the derivatives sectors. As seen below, funding rates for perpetual swaps have been returning to neutral levels after going negative on September 7th.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Skew via QCP Capital

With that in mind, QCP expects the current period of consolidation to continue into the $53,000 range for Bitcoin, at least in the short term.

Related Reading | New To Bitcoin? Learn To Trade Crypto With The NewsBTC Trading Course

By the end of September, BTC’s price could increase its levels of volatility due to the “massive end-month expiry” in BTC options, as seen below. In addition to that, QCP Capital believes Q4, 2021, could bring more macro uncertainty into the market.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: QCP Capital
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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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NewsBTC is a cryptocurrency news service that covers bitcoin news today, technical analysis & forecasts for bitcoin price and other altcoins. Here at NewsBTC, we are dedicated to enlightening everyone about bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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