Bitcoin Opinion

Is it a Bear Market or Just Back to Reality for Bitcoin

John McMahon | June 13, 2018 | 8:00 am
Bitcoin
Bitcoin

Is it a Bear Market or Just Back to Reality for Bitcoin

John McMahon | June 13, 2018 | 8:00 am

Bitcoin has slipped below $7,000 to hover in the mid-six thousand range again this week with growing speculation that it may fall below six as investors get panicky and sell. Maybe the question to ask is, is this the start of a new bear market or just a return to normalcy?

Maybe it’s Not a Bear Market

The six-month meteoric rise of cryptocurrency prices and popularity from July 2017 through to January 2018 made a lot of people rich and brought a lot of attention to the space but it may also have caused a lot of damage to the long-term growth and development of the technology.

When the rush was on buying Bitcoin became a get rich fast scheme for many and that in turn brought in the scammers which got the attention of the worlds regulatory bodies who, without really knowing how to classify digital monies, have created an environment of doubt and fear around them. For those who bought in late 2017 when Bitcoin was at record highs, the recent price marks feel like massive drops in value but step back a bit to look at Bitcoin over a two year period and the term bear market does not apply.

It’s true that Bitcoin fell in value this week losing 4.6% alone on Tuesday and that it is down over 50% so far this year but look back a year ago to June 2017 to see that it was trading at around $2,000 then. Travel back another year and it was selling for about $750 per coin. Perhaps what we are seeing is a return to a realistic valuation of the coin after it experienced an unprecedented 1,400% surge in price over six months in 2017.

Lower prices May be a Good Thing

Commenting on reasons for the recent downturn Kyle Samani, managing partner at Austin, Texas-based crypto hedge fund Multicoin Capital told MSN Money “I don’t think this is driven on any particular news, just the general downtrend after the 2017 run,” before adding;

“A lot of people who bought at $9,000 in April are realizing that they’re not going to break even anytime soon, and are instead trying to get out.”

This bursting bubble, bear market or return to realistic valuations may be good for the space and the future of the technology in the long run. Without the possibility of overnight riches, the scammers and pitchmen should fall away, the shitcoins disappear, regulatory agencies can take a breath and finally present some clarity and those who truly believe in crypto will be left to continue developing the technology.

 

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  • TomTronix

    Yes, its a real pitty… and all the people said: “wait for chinese new year”, “wait for wallstreet bonus payments”, “wait for this”, “wait for that” …. they showed charts comparing all the last years developing in the same way, giving hope… but in the end…. nothing that worked in the last years has worked out for this year… I got the feeling for that already a while ago, but still was hoping. Now is maybe the time to realize, that it is going to take a loooong time, until I can see green again… Well, I invested a lot, not actually need the money right now… at least i can be sure, that when it will be green again, it will be all tax free, as it will take more than a year to get back to that prices, that i bought in …. “buy the dip they said” …. still down by -50% currently, although bought every dip of being -30% down to previous position…

    • devaraj v.r

      May be your investment helpful for your grandchildren 🙂

    • Abdullah Rajab

      If there is any indication from past charts to what is happening now, it would be the 2013-2014 one. After the $1,200 bubble burst, bitcoin lost nearly 80% of its value; took 16 months to start growing again.

  • Mulyadi Sutejo

    Definitely “back to reality”.
    Lack of development, and Adoption, Wrong Price appreciation, R.I.P Segwit btc.

    • Abdullah Rajab

      Let me guess, BCH is the solution?

  • Vahlinov Andy Freedman

    You can kill the Bitcoin and other cryptos and innovations, but you can’t kill a progressive idea which time has came. A new different world is coming up and no one can stop it. No one can stop the innovation and the development of technologies.

  • Arthur NHK

    until regulation comes, there is no future for bitcoin, because price manipulated heavily and in such criminal activities involved two biggest exchanges – bitmex and bitfinex, which try to avoid regulation at all cost, there is no doubt such heavy dumps is orchestrated by bitmex/bitfinex itself, just look what a profit they get from liquidating people account at enormous degree. We can probably soon or a later will see a lots of employee / ceo bitfinex/bitmex in the court, preferable in jail.

  • Louise

    Finally, an article that speaks sense!
    What lies ahead for Bitcoin and the Altcoins who knows? But I believe we are ‘returning to the mean’ after some well-known manipulations and hype (e.g. Tether, Whales, media generated about BTC Futures etc.).
    We need more writers like you I this nascent marketplace John McMahon!

    Regards,
    Louise.

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