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bitcoin bulls bear market

What Bear Market? Bulls Now “In Control” Over Every Bitcoin Timeframe

Tony Spilotro by Tony Spilotro
1 year ago
in BTC
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Bitcoin price is back at $46,000 after a few month reset back to $30,000 and slightly below. A more than 50% collapse from the current all-time high of $65,000 had the cryptocurrency community calling for a bear market, but according to a trend strength indicator, bears are nowhere in sight.

In fact, the tool, called the Average Directional Index suggests that bulls are now back in control over Bitcoin price action on every major timeframe.

Bitcoin Ready For Final Push According To ADX Indicator

Bitcoin is an unusually bullish asset that has only truly known a secular bull market despite the recurring 80 to 90% drawdowns that end each cycle. These so-called “bear markets” barely turn technical indicators bearish, and result in new highs less than four years later.

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Instead of a bear market, these phases could better be described as a return to mean after a bubble phase – a bubble phase that hasn’t yet completed, according to a trend-strength measuring tool.

Related Reading | How A Hammer & The Golden Ratio Could Mean 6 More Months Of Bullish Bitcoin

The tool in reference is the Average Directional Index, created by J. Welles Wilder who also is the creator of the Relative Strength Index, Parabolic SAR, and other popular indicators today.

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The ADX is easy to read, and suggests a trend is blossoming when readings reach over 20. What this particular reading doesn’t tell you, however, is which side of the market is in charge: bears or bulls.

bitcoin bulls

Bulls have control over BTC on every major timeframe | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bulls Are In Control Of Crypto On All Major Timeframes

The Average Directional Index typically comes equipped with a positive and a negative directional indicator. These indicators fill in the missing piece of the puzzle and clues in analysts which side is winning before the trend begins to strengthen.

If bears are in charge and the ADX begins to trend, then crypto is doomed to deeper lows. If bulls are in charge, then charge they will to new highs.

Related Reading | Three White Soldiers: The Signal That Shows Bitcoin Bulls Are Preparing For Battle

The chart above shows that on the daily timeframe bulls have control over Bitcoin. On the three-day timeframe, the short-lived bear phase is ending, and bulls just got the upper hand. Next in the row of BTC charts, is the weekly, which only narrowly has turned bullish. This could suggest a little more downside on this timeframe, but elsewhere the direction should be up.

Finally, the last chart depicts the BTCUSD monthly, which not only shows that bulls never even really close control in the first place, but that the bull trend reached nowhere near past peaks, and this could indicate the rally will march forward in the days ahead – at least that appears to be what the ADX is suggesting based on the bevy of bullish signals.

Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or via the TonyTradesBTC Telegram. Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice.

Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com
Tags: bitcoinbtcbtcusdBTCUSDTcryptoxbtxbtusd
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Tony Spilotro

Tony Spilotro

I'm Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I'm a global remote work leader with a decade of award-winning content experience and excellence. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck - literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn't yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can't yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter at @tonyspilotroBTC and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.

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