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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

When Crypto’s Most Reliable Sell Signal Fails, The Bitcoin Bull Run Is On

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
1 year ago
3 mins read
bitcoin TD 9 monthly sell signal bull market

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Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
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Crypto traders rely on several tools to help predict future Bitcoin price action and trend changes. Few tools have been as reliable over the years as the TD Sequential indicator, created by market timing expert Thomas Demark.

The few times this tool has failed on the highest timeframes, Bitcoin has absolutely exploded in the months following. Is this time different and the sell signal its giving will be reliable? Or will this be the last chance to buy Bitcoin below its former all-time high of $20,000?

Bitcoin Triggers Rare Sell Signal That Once Failed Kicked Off The Bull Market

Bitcoin is one of the most volatile assets historically, due to its speculative nature and rise from literally nothing to nearly $20,000 in 2017.

The cryptocurrency is picking up steam again, and another bull market could be beginning. As the first of its kind, Bitcoin is just over a decade old and has only two previous bear markets to go on.

But both of those two previous bear markets, ended when the TD Sequential indicator on monthly timeframes, perfected an “8” sell setup, prior to also perfecting a “9” set up as well.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Quickly Approaches $15,000 As Election Outcome Lingers

Typically, a TD 9 signal suggests trends are nearing exhaustion, and the tool has been reliable all throughout the bear market on daily and weekly timeframes at calling tops and bottoms in Bitcoin and altcoins.

The highest timeframe signals are also usually the most dominant and effective when predicting the future trend. In the last two cases, however, the TD Sequential failed miserably on monthly time frames at calling the top, causing investors to potentially miss out on an over 8,000% rally.

Now, the signal is back, but is this time different?

bitcoin td9

The monthly TD Sequential indicator has perfected an “8” sell setup, and a “9” could be next | Source: BLX on TradingView.com

Fool Me Twice: Don’t Fall For the TD Sequential In A Crypto Bull Market

In 2013, when the TD Sequential indicator perfected an “8” and “9” sell setup, doing so would have been a grave mistake. Selling there would have missed an 8,000% rally.

Years later, when the more extended bear market ended, Bitcoin exploded by another 4,700% after the perfected setups. Again, selling would have been disastrous as an investor. During the 2017 rally, the TD Sequential even triggered a “13” countdown sell setup, which means the trend is severely overextended.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Trigger Rare Bull Market Capitulation Signal

Yet, it still couldn’t take Bitcoin down, and instead spiked from $3,000 to $20,000 five months later.

The TD “8” has been perfected, and another higher high next month would perfect the “9.” Then it is watch and wait, to see if the sell signal works this time or if another multi-thousand percent impulse move follows.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com
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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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