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bitcoin bull market rare hash ribbon capitulation miner signal
Nexo Logo

Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Trigger Rare Bull Market Capitulation Signal

Tony Spilotro by Tony Spilotro
2 years ago
in BTC
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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An important fundamental health signal of the Bitcoin network just crossed into “capitulation” territory, which in the past was associated with downside risk. However, the tool’s creator says that it wasn’t designed to give sell signals, and shouldn’t be interpreted that way.

But because of how profitable its been used as a buy signal over the cryptocurrency’s history, it is difficult to ignore a sudden anomaly in the asset’s market cycle that has never in the past appeared. So what exactly is going on and why did this rare signal just trigger?

What Gives? Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Signal Miner Capitulation As Bull Market Begins

There is no other asset on the face of the planet like Bitcoin. Altcoins created in its honor, and even hard forks that as closely mimic the first ever cryptocurrency as possible can’t come close to its market share dominance and potential.

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Cryptocurrencies in general, share very few similarities with traditional assets like stocks. Due to this, the fundamental analysis methods typically used to forecast company share pricing are useless.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Dominance Is Days Away From Triggering A 30% Rally Against Alts

Instead, custom tools have been designed by experts like Charles Edwards that closely monitor specific Bitcoin network health metrics, such as hash rate, and more. Edwards also created the hash ribbons, which in the past have acted as the ultimate buy signal for the top cryptocurrency.

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Its signals are few and far between, but it has notably provided the runway for the rally to Bitcoin’s all-time high, and again to $14,000 both recent attempts.

bitcoin hash ribbons The hash ribbons indicator is signalling that miners are capitulating, but why? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

On average, hash ribbon buy signals result in roughly 5,000% return. But before the buy signal takes place, BTC miners must capitulate, which the hash ribbons signal with a crossover to the downside.

The tool’s creator warns that capitulation isn’t a signal to sell, but is it foolish to ignore a signal that in the past has been associated with some of the cryptocurrency’s most signfiicant downside?

Reminder: Hash Ribbon capitulation is not a sell signal.

It never was.

— Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) October 30, 2020

Rare Capitulation Signal Appears For First Time Ever Post-Halving, But Why?

Since 2019 alone, this makes the fourth time miners have capitulated according to the hash ribbons. The first in 2019, was when Bitcoin fell to $6,000 in late December.

Black Thursday happened so fast, capitulation in this case came after the collapse itself. During this time, the top crypto asset traded way below the cost of production – another BTC fundamental tool Edwards has created.

Another captiulation event happened post-halving, just as the cost of production spiked above price action, but Bitcoin price quickly caught up.

Now, capitulation in BTC miners is back in the air. Most instances led to downside, some even severe. Prior to 2019, capituation of miners sent Bitcoin plummeting to its current bear market bottom of $3,200.

bitcoin hash ribbons

The hash ribbons indicator is signalling that miners are capitulating, but why? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Crypto investors find comfort in comparing the last market cycle against the current, expecting similar results. However, according to the hash ribbons, things are already vastly different.

During the last bear market, the hash ribbons triggered three times. The short-lived bear market before it in 2012-2013 also had three distinct triggers.

Related Reading | Crypto Analyst: Altcoins To “Tank” While Bitcoin Runs For All-Time High

This time around, however, Bitcoin is working on its fifth time. Black Thursday was an acceptable anomaly that created an extra fourth fallout capitulating miners, but what is causing a fifth time? And will this be the final buy signal before the bull run when BTC miners have completed capitulating?

Each round of capitulation, in theory, shakes out weak miners leaving only the strongest to survive, in turn strengthening Bitcoin’s network and making the bull market more sustainable.

So even if Edwards is wrong and the tool can spot sell signals also, when the buy trigger arrives, it could be an opporotunity of a lifetime.

Note: To learn more about Bitcoin fundamental tools, including the hash ribbons indicator created by Charles Edwards, check out the recently launched NewsBTC crypto trading course.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com
Tags: bitcoinbtcbtcusdbtcusdcBTCUSDTcryptoxbtxbusd
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Tony Spilotro

Tony Spilotro

I'm Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I'm a global remote work leader with a decade of award-winning content experience and excellence. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck - literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn't yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can't yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter at @tonyspilotroBTC and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.

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