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Breaking News: SOL Strategies: The First Solana Treasury Company Listed On Nasdaq

$200,000 Bitcoin In 2025? $791 Billion Asset Manager Calls It ‘Conservative’

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
10 months ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin price prediction Bernstein

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Bernstein Research, the esteemed research arm of global asset manager AllianceBernstein, is projecting that Bitcoin will reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. The firm, which manages assets worth $791 billion as of August 2024, labels this prediction as “conservative” in its latest 160-page “Black Book” on Bitcoin.

Why BTC Price Will Hit $200,000 In 2025

Bernstein’s report, titled “From Coin to Computing: The Bitcoin Investing Guide,” delves into the multifaceted dynamics propelling Bitcoin’s ascent. The firm underscores the surge in institutional adoption, the burgeoning market for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and the evolving role of Bitcoin miners in both the cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence (AI) sectors.

“If you are a Bitcoin skeptic … maybe a limited supply, ‘store of value’ digital asset is not such a bad thing in a world where U.S. debt hits new records ($35 trillion now) and threats of inflation still loom. If you like gold here, you should love Bitcoin even more,” writes Gautam Chhugani, Managing Director and Senior Analyst at Bernstein.

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The report highlights a significant shift in institutional investment patterns. According to Bernstein, global asset managers now hold approximately $60 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, a fivefold increase from $12 billion in September 2022. The firm describes the launch of these ETFs as “the most successful in the history of exchange-traded funds,” noting $18.5 billion in inflows year-to-date since their introduction in January.

“By 2024 end, we expect Wall Street to replace Satoshi as the top Bitcoin wallet,” the report states. Bernstein attributes this surge to the logistical challenges of self-custody for retail investors. “With institutional players flocking to Bitcoin, ETFs are proving to be the entry point for large-scale investment in digital assets,” the firm notes.

Bernstein’s bullish stance on Bitcoin is underpinned by its analysis of market trends and institutional behavior. BTC price has already appreciated by 120% over the past 12 months, with its market capitalization swelling to $1.3 trillion.

“With institutional adoption accelerating, we expect Bitcoin to triple from its current levels,” Bernstein projects. The firm anticipates that Bitcoin’s market cap could expand to over $3 trillion by the end of 2025, driven by increased allocations from wealth management platforms, pension funds, and registered investment advisors.

The report also suggests that larger financial institutions will play a more dominant role as the market matures. “This new institutional era, in our view, could push Bitcoin to a high of $200,000 by 2025 end,” the analysts write, emphasizing that the forecast is “conservative” given the current trajectory of institutional involvement.

Bitcoin Treasury And Mining

Another focal point of Bernstein’s report is the growing adoption of Bitcoin as a corporate treasury asset. The firm highlights MicroStrategy Incorporated (NASDAQ: MSTR) as a pioneering example. Led by CEO Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy has allocated more than 99% of its cash holdings to Bitcoin, owning approximately 1.3% of the total Bitcoin supply.

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“We view MicroStrategy as an active leveraged Bitcoin equity strategy,” Bernstein states, pointing out that the company’s stock has offered superior returns compared to holding Bitcoin directly or via ETFs.

Bernstein’s report also sheds light on the consolidation trends within the Bitcoin mining industry. Major players like Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT), CleanSpark (NASDAQ: CLSK), and Marathon Digital Holdings are acquiring smaller miners, leading to an industry dominated by industrial-scale operations.

“Leading US Bitcoin miners are consolidating share and becoming energy infrastructure players,” the report notes. “We expect Riot, CleanSpark, and Marathon to consolidate the Bitcoin mining industry.” Bernstein predicts that these leading miners will control 30% of Bitcoin’s total hashrate by 2025.

US mining prediction
US mining prediction | Source: X @matthew_sigel

The analysts further explore the synergy between Bitcoin mining and AI infrastructure. Bitcoin miners are emerging as attractive partners for GPU cloud providers, offering gigawatt-scale energy access and reducing the “time to market” for energizing AI data centers.

“Miners present an energy arbitrage opportunity, trading at $2-4 million per megawatt, compared to $30-50 million per megawatt for legacy data centers,” Bernstein observes. Companies like Core Scientific and Iris Energy are capitalizing on this by developing AI data centers alongside Bitcoin mining operations.

Bitcoin miners strategic landscape
Bitcoin miners strategic landscape | Source: X @matthew_sigel

“Bitcoin miners are evolving into essential partners for AI data centers as they capitalize on excess energy capacity and offer efficient solutions for high-performance computing,” Bernstein states. This convergence not only diversifies revenue streams for miners but also enhances the sustainability and scalability of AI infrastructures.

At press time, BTC traded at $67,162.

Bitcoin price
BTC price bounces offkey support (red area), 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

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