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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions

Bitcoin Rally Stalls As Short-Term Holder Exchange Inflows Intensify

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
Last Updated: June 11, 2024 8:10 am
3 mins read
Bitcoin

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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin exchange inflows of the short-term holders have intensified recently as the asset’s rally has come to a halt.

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Are Showing Elevated Exchange Inflows

According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, the short-term holders have recently made inflows equivalent to 1.28% of their entire supply. The “exchange inflow” here refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of Bitcoin that investors are depositing to centralized exchanges currently.

Generally, investors deposit to these platforms for selling-related purposes, so whenever this metric’s value is high, it’s a possible sign that there is dumping going on in the market. Naturally, this kind of trend can have bearish consequences for the cryptocurrency’s price.

The exchange inflow is usually defined for the entire market, but in the context of the current discussion, the focus is only on the inflows being made by the “short-term holders” (STHs).

The STHs make up one of the two major cohorts in the Bitcoin market (the other being the “long-term holders”), and they include all investors who have been holding their coins since less than 155 days ago.

As their name already implies, these investors don’t tend to hold for too long, as they are usually the most fickle bunch in the market, easily selling at the sight of any FUD or profit-taking opportunities.

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Now, below is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin exchange inflows specifically for the STHs over the last year or so.

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Exchange Inflow

The value of the metric seems to have been quite high in recent days | Source: Glassnode on Twitter

Here, the exchange inflow of the STHs is represented as a percentage of their supply (that is, the sum of the wallet amounts that each individual STH is holding right now). From the graph, it’s visible that the indicator’s value had risen to notable values earlier in the month when the market was going through FUD like the SEC lawsuits against cryptocurrency exchanges Binance and Coinbase.

While the STHs were clearly showing panic then, the scale of their selling was still significantly lower than the other selloffs that have taken place during the past year.

After the latest rally in the cryptocurrency’s price above the $30,000 level has occurred, however, the indicator’s value has shown a sharp increase. Now, the metric has hit a value of 1.28%, which means that the STHs have recently made inflows equivalent to 1.28% of their supply.

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This level is higher than what was seen during the rebound rally back in March of this year. As is visible from the graph, the rally back then had hit the brakes when the STHs ramped up their selling.

So far, Bitcoin has been trending sideways since the recent sharp price surge occurred. So it’s possible that the current intensified selling from the STHs is behind this trend, similar to how it was back in March.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $30,100, up 4% in the last week.

Bitcoin Price Chart

BTC continues to hold above the $30,000 mark | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Maxim Hopman on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Glassnode.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

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Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
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Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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