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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin Price Likely to Drop Towards $6,000 if History Rhymes

Nick Chong
Nick Chong
1 year ago
2 mins read

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After plunging to $6,800 on Friday, Bitcoin (BTC) has been subject to some reprieve; the cryptocurrency now trades at $7,300, up some 8-odd percent from the bottom. While this bounce is somewhat positive for bulls, especially considering the historical importance of the high-$6,000s, a key indicator suggests that there may be more pain to come for the market.

Related Reading: Crypto Tidbits: Bitcoin Dives Under $8,000, Fidelity Bags Trust License, SEC Takes Second Look at ETF

Bitcoin May Have Further to Drop, RSI Suggests

Analyst Byzantine General recently noted that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) — an oscillating indicator that tracks if an asset is overbought, oversold, or somewhere in between by factoring in the “magnitude of recent price changes” — for the one-day Bitcoin chart has hit 25, meaning slightly oversold.

The significance of this: Bitcoin’s one-day RSI rarely drops below 30, and normally hits 20 when it does. With this precedent in place, there is a high likelihood that BTC will continue to head lower from current price levels.

https://twitter.com/ByzGeneral/status/1198311966617559040

But… But… the Bottom is In

While Byzantine’s analysis of the RSI indicator suggests there is more pain to come, there is a confluence of evidence supporting the idea that Bitcoin found a local, and maybe ultimate, bottom in and around $6,700.

Firstly, as reported by NewsBTC previously, Scott “The Wolf of All Streets” Melker noted that during yesterday’s plunge to $6,800, BTC’s four-hour RSI hit 6.5, which is the lowest ever on Coinbase’s market and the lowest it has been in 2019. As the RSI oscillates between 0 and 100, a reading of 6.5, which is extremely rare, implies that the asset being analyzed is extremely oversold, and due to bounce as a result.

4 Hour RSI is presently 6.5, which matches the lowest that it has EVER BEEN on Coinbase and the lowest it has been this year. Buying some Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/1DceRyuBsC

— The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) November 22, 2019

That’s not all. Dave the Wave, an analyst who called the drop to $6,700 months and months ago, said that there is a confluence of technical factors that suggest a long-term bottom was put in at $6,700. This confluence includes but isn’t limited to the three-year moving average—which currently sits in the low-$6,000s—is where BTC historically has found support in early bull markets and the fact that the cryptocurrency has bounced off the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement level of the $3,200 to $13,800 range, implying bottoming price action.

Related Reading: Legendary Bitcoin Short Seller Says To Watch For Base To Form Before Buying
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Nick Chong
Nick Chong

Nick Chong

I am a writer who has been following Bitcoin for years now. My insights and interviews have been featured in leading publications in the industry such as LongHash and Decrypt. I own a small amount of Bitcoin.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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NewsBTC is a cryptocurrency news service that covers bitcoin news today, technical analysis & forecasts for bitcoin price and other altcoins. Here at NewsBTC, we are dedicated to enlightening everyone about bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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