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Bitcoin’s long-term chart has produced another interesting price projection, as crypto analyst Crypto Tice is pointing out a technical roadmap needed for a rally to $500,000. This Bitcoin price forecast is based on a broad ascending channel that has guided the cryptocurrency through previous support tests, midrange rallies, and rejection zones. Notably, the latest structure is now positioned at what the analyst called the second major support touch.
Bitcoin’s Bull Channel Structure
Crypto Tice, a technical analyst on the social media platform X, analyzed a macro bull channel on Bitcoin’s weekly chart that has been governing price action across multiple cycles. The structure is a long-term ascending parallel channel, bounded by a lower rising support trendline and an upper rising resistance trendline.
The weekly candlestick chart shows Bitcoin reacting to the lower green boundary during the previous cycle low, rallying into the middle of the channel, facing rejection here, and then returning to support before beginning a stronger rally phase to the upper part of the channel.
The analyst’s rationale is that Bitcoin has already completed the same sequence that appeared earlier in the channel. The first touch at support has already happened, the rally to the middle of the channel has already played out, and the rejection back into the lower region of the structure has also been completed.
Based on this reading, Bitcoin is now sitting around the second major support touch, which is the zone where the analysis suggests a much larger move could begin. The second support touch is the most important part of the setup because it represents the point where Bitcoin is expected to prove that the larger channel is still intact.
Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoTice_ On X
The Projection To $500,000
Bitcoin’s current position is very important. A defense of the lower trendline would mean that the leading cryptocurrency is not merely bouncing inside a weak market but building another expansion leg from a long-term channel support trendline.
The next projection is a bounce off the support trendline and then a rally to the channel resistance line. The next price target sitting on the upper resistance band of the long-term bull channel is at $500,000. This target is plotted using the same way Bitcoin rallied the last time from support to the upper resistance band.
It is worth noting that this is only a technical projection, and one that implies a move of more than six times from current price levels. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $77,075, having lost the $80,000 price level again. The broader analyst community is divided on Bitcoin’s path, and institutional forecasts for 2026 are generally in a range from $143,000 to $189,000.
Crypto Tice’s analysis, however, is more of a long-term outlook and it offers a structural context for understanding where Bitcoin is in its long-term trajectory.
