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Breaking News: FTX Recovery Trust Set To Disburse $1.6 Billion By Month-End, FTT Price Skyrockets

Recent Bitcoin Price Action Isn’t Radical According to Serious Valuation Models

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
5 years ago
3 mins read
bitcoin stock to flow model power law growth corridor

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Yesterday, the cryptocurrency market was a complete bloodbath, bringing Bitcoin to under $4,000 briefly before a rebound occurred.

Despite the carnage, according to the asset’s most serious valuation models, the price action wasn’t anything radical and the first-ever cryptocurrency is still tracking along healthy as can be.

Bitcoin Bloodbath Wasn’t Enough to Break Serious Valuation Models

The leading cryptocurrency by market cap saw one of the worst selloffs in the history of the asset yesterday, as fears over the rapidly spreading coronavirus reach critical status.

The economy is feeling the sting, and even a $1.5 trillion dollar injection by the Fed hasn’t really resulted in much relief.

Related Reading | Don’t Panic: This Previously Impervious Support Could Save Bitcoin

As bad as it has been in the stock markets, with the Dow seeing its worst single-day loss since 1987, Bitcoin was a complete and utter bloodbath.

After support at $7,500 broke down, the crypto asset fell like a brick and less than 24 hours later was under $4,000. All this when just a few weeks prior, Bitcoin was trading above $10,000.

The panic-driven drop was a cataclysmic event that will scar crypto investors for some time, but even despite both bears and bulls being in complete disbelief over what transpired, the price action was nothing radical, according to more serious valuations models.

Because Bitcoin is unlike any other asset before it and isn’t yet well understood, only a few more serious and professional valuations models exist.

These models include the highly cited Stock-to-Flow model and the Power Law Growth Corridor.

Just stepping in to note that the Bitcoin network is still fully functional, and the price is doing nothing radical viewed in light of some of the more serious valuation models. pic.twitter.com/0q8RymMIA7

— gravitywave (@gravitywave2) March 13, 2020

Stock-to-Flow and Power Law Growth Corridor Withstand Yesterday’s Crypto Collapse

While there’s no denying the severity of yesterday’s moves were enough to send chills down the spines of crypto investors everywhere, all is clearly not lost.

And while even Bitcoin’s most staunch supporters were also shaken by the event, these models continue to hold up.

The Power Law Growth Corridor shows Bitcoin still a ways away from touching the bottom fo the corridor. This means the asset’s long-term growth trajectory is still perfectly intact.

And according to the Stock-to-Flow model, Bitcoin has deviated well below the price predicted by the model in the past. By comparison, the latest drop isn’t even close to how far it has dipped below in the past.

This also suggests that Bitcoin is still alive and well.

Related Reading | Record-Breaking Bitcoin Volume On Binance Points to Possible Capitulation and Bottom

Lastly, even in a complete price meltdown, Bitcoin’s network would likely continue to remain perfectly operational.

Things are looking bleak, and the world is in chaos, however, it will take a lot more destruction to kill Bitcoin, and it surviving here will be proof that it is here to stay.

Featured image from Shutterstock
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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

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Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

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