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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Beware: The Signal That Called The 2019 Bitcoin Peak Is Back

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
1 year ago
3 mins read
bitcoin TD9

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The latest Bitcoin uptrend is its most powerful yet, and while momentum has clearly been up for some time, an ominous sell signal has appeared. And while the cryptocurrency has shown little signs of slowdown, the top-sniping signal that perfectly called the 2019 peak is back again.

Will this sequence-based signal result in near flawless market timing once again? Or are bulls far too strong, and the latest signal is just another in a string of failed setups from the typically accurate indicator.

Bitcoin Price Action Triggers Unorthodox Timeframe TD9 Sell Setup

Technical analysis hasn’t worked very well to predict Bitcoin price action recently, and instead the upward momentum has been driven by strong on-chain fundamentals and a distinct lack of available supply.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Overtakes Russian Ruble, Inches Closer To Top Ten Global Currencies

As soon as the trend turned up on higher timeframes, things have only been bullish for Bitcoin. The leading cryptocurrency by market cap has rarely corrected, and when it has it hasn’t achieved the pullbacks from past cycles.

But could the first, larger correction finally be coming? The TD Sequential indicator designed by market timing whiz Thomas Demark is signaling so.

bitcoin TD9

TD 9 has called most of the last major peaks | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The TD9 sell setup has appeared on a not often used timeframe: the two-week. In technical analysis, higher timeframe signals yield the strongest results.

Weekly sell setups using the indicator have still worked like a charm up until recently, while daily sell setups have been failing ever since $10,000 was broken.

Timing The Top Of The Current Crypto Market Uptrend

However, on two-week timeframes, the signal has still produced some of the largest corrections yet. The most recent, was the mild correction from over $12,000 to under $10,000, right before the massive bullish impulse began.

Related Reading | Running Bitcoin: Passing The Torch From Hal Finney To Jack Dorsey

Before that, however, resulted in a medium term “top” making the signal that much more ominous. But like other timeframes, TD9 sell setups often fail in Bitcoin bull markets.

bitcoin TD9 2

Results are mixed during bull markets, but still somewhat effective | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A closer look at the last major cycle “top” at $20,000, had a TD9 sell setup appear two full candles before the bear market began. If this cycles matches up with the last, there could be only slightly more than a month remaining in the current uptrend.

The first major bull market came to a climax in late 2013, with a perfected TD 8 and 9 setup, sending the cryptocurrency into its longest crypto winter yet.

What do you think? Is this about it for Bitcoin’s uptrend? Or will the once accurate signal fail on yet another timeframe?

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com
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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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