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Breaking News: HYPE Soars Beyond $40 Following Robinhood Listing: What’s Next For Hyperliquid’s Price?
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Breaking News: HYPE Soars Beyond $40 Following Robinhood Listing: What’s Next For Hyperliquid’s Price?

Bitcoin Uptrend From $20K Has Been Lost According To Parabolic Indicator

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
1 year ago
3 mins read

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Bitcoin price is still trading well above $30,000 after a nearly $5,000 retreat from highs set at the turn of the new year. But during the first decent-sized correction in the cryptocurrency since $20,000 was broken, one “parabolic” indicator could be suggesting that the daily uptrend has been lost.

Here’s a closer look at the Parabolic SAR indicator and what it currently says about the first-ever cryptocurrency and if its unstoppable rally will continue.

Bitcoin Daily Uptrend Possibly Finished For Now, According To Parabolic SAR

When Bitcoin touched down to $3,800 on Black Thursday, retesting its bear market bottom and confirming it as resistance turned support, it gave bullish investors all the confidence in the world that the cryptocurrency had staying power.

If that frightening day didn’t shake out holders, then nothing would. Since then, BTC has been moving off of exchanges, and the digital gold narrative has taken over the world of finance.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Closes 2020 As Best Performing Asset Of The Last Decade

In addition to retail FOMO picking back up, institutions are now buying Bitcoin with everything they’ve got – suddenly interested in the asset to protect and store their vast wealth.

All that wealth pouring in before the price per BTC rises too high, has caused the cryptocurrency in just one year rise from $3,800 to just under $30,000 in 2020. The moment the New Year turned, the cryptocurrency added another nearly $5,000 in less than five days.

But as of last night, the asset’s deepest correction began, and it possibly ended Bitcoin’s uptrend on daily timeframes, according to the Parabolic SAR indicator.

bitcoin parabolic sar

The Parabolic SAR indicator has been hit on daily timeframes | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Not So Fast: Breakdown Of Daily Parabola Leaves High Timeframe Momentum In Tact

The Parabolic SAR (stop-and-reverse) indicator lives up to its name by potentially spotting when an asset’s parabola has stopped and reversed.

In the image above, the red wick on the nasty daily BTCUSD candle touched the SAR dot below the price action, causing a new SAR to appear above. When this happens, it typically suggests the trend is about to reverse.

The tool has been described as up to 80% accurate, and it is also helpful for traders seeking to employ a trailing stop loss strategy, where stop losses are moved higher and higher in profit just below each SAR dot. When the price action comes back down and stops out the trade, the trader is profitable and can rest assured they were stopped out at a point where the trend was ending anyway.

But like all indicators, their use doesn’t only apply to daily timeframes, and on weekly and monthly timeframes, the uptrend is at very little risk at current prices.

Related Reading | Analyst: Bitcoin Parabolic Trend Is “Close To A Breakdown”

On weekly timeframes, for the parabola to be violated, Bitcoin must pass below roughly $22,000. For the monthly uptrend to conclude, price action must retrace to as low as $6,100 before having to worry about another long-term bear phase.

With those numbers so low, it is difficult to imagine them being reached any time soon. And with high timeframe signals the most dominant, even a short-term retrace on daily timeframes, won’t damage the integrity of the greater bull market.

It is worth noting that the Parabolic SAR indicator rises as price does, so these figures will change depending on which way the cryptocurrency trends next.

To consider the daily uptrend to be resumed, Bitcoin will need to take out $34,750 and keep to keep trucking higher from there.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com
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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

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