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bitcoin bollinger bands bull market corrections
Nexo Logo

Time To Pay Attention: Where The Bitcoin Bull Market Correction Might End

Tony Spilotro by Tony Spilotro
1 year ago
in BTC
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Bitcoin price over the last 24 hours saw an over $3,000 crash and more than 15% wiped out from its price tag.

Despite the downside, the cryptocurrency is undeniably in a bull market. But bull markets do correct, and when they do it can be powerful. As to where Bitcoin could fall to, the last bull market and one particular indicator could provide clues.

Bitcoin Begins First Major Bull Market Correction Since $10,000 Breakout

The leading cryptocurrency by market cap shocked Wall Street and the rest of the world over the last few months. The asset has broken nearly every record related to it but fell just shy of breaking its all-time high before a strong correction began.

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Technical indicators such as the RSI on daily timeframes have reached the longest period of oversold conditions ever, and on weekly timeframe has surged into bull market territory. Still, when an asset trends this hard, the corrections are just as severe.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Rally Isn’t Just Institutional Driven, Emerging Markets Are Voting For Revolution

Yesterday, the cryptocurrency set a high of $19,500. As of this morning, a low of $16,100 was reached wiping out more than $3000 of the asset’s previously increasing price tag.

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The momentum has only just shifted, and given the strength of the move up, the correction is likely to be as dramatic. And with bulls now conditioned to buy every dip, the potential for a squeeze of the last remaining leveraged traders before the next leg up is high.

Given all the conditions, it is time to pay attention.

bitcoin bollinger bands bull market corrections then

The middle-BB acted as bull market support the entire way up | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bull Market Corrections Fall To Middle-Line On Bollinger Bands: Target Is $12,400

The quote is a nod to a commonly used phrase by Bollinger Bands creator John Bollinger. The technical indicator he created was used to spot the powerful Bitcoin movement upward before it fully began.

The structure is looking good, but we need a bit of confirmation first. One set of tactics might be a start a position here and add to as it works out with an initial stop under the 9/23 low.

— John Bollinger (@bbands) October 5, 2020

The tool is a complex one with a moving average and two standard deviations that diverge or contract measuring volatility. Bollinger Bands are most famous for their “squeeze” and ability to predict major breakouts – precisely what happened prior to this bullish impulse move.

But Bollinger Bands can also be used to find support or resistance, and in Bitcoin bull markets, the middle-line appears to be the de facto support level that keeps the uptrend intact.

If bulls want to be successful and knife catch the exact bottom of the correction, then the middle-BB on weekly timeframes is an area to watch.

 bitcoin bollinger bands bull market corrections then

The middle-line moving average on the Bollinger Bands could be the correction target | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Currently, on weekly timeframes, the middle-line is currently around $12,400 which would result in a roughly 37% correction. Data also shows that during the last bull market, historically, the top cryptocurrency crashed on average 37%.

Related Reading | Search Engine Marketing Data Reveals Highest Retail Interest In Bitcoin Ever

With the all-important middle-BB lining up almost exactly with that steep of a correction, it is most certainly time to pay attention.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com
Tags: bitcoinBollinger bandsbtcbtcusdBTCUSDTcryptoJohn Bollingerxbtxbtusd
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Tony Spilotro

Tony Spilotro

I'm Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I'm a global remote work leader with a decade of award-winning content experience and excellence. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck - literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn't yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can't yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter at @tonyspilotroBTC and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.

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