Weekly Bitcoin Momentum Cross Bullish For First Time Since March 2021

Tony "The Bull" Severino

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Bitcoin price has been unable to get back to $50,000, but with momentum at its back for the first time on weekly timeframes since March, the top cryptocurrency might blast right on through it.

Here’s a closer look at the significant bullish crossover brewing, but also what crypto investors might need to beware of if the market continues to consolidate further.

Bitcoin Momentum Indicator Crosses Bullish For First Time Since ATH

There is a battle of the words waging on across the crypto community – a fierce debate over if Bitcoin has started another bear market, or if the bull market has final leg up ahead.

Only one side of the trade will be right in the end, but which? Time will decide, but in the meantime analysts are trying to determine the highest probability direction the top cryptocurrency goes next.

Trend strength indicators suggest that bulls are in control, but momentum has been in bear’s favor since the peak in late March and early April 2021.

Around that time, Bitcoin price was trading around the current all-time high of $65,000, when the LMACD crossed bearish and the downtrend first began. After last night’s weekly close, however, things have flipped back bullish for the first time since.

Weekly momentum has crossed bullish above the zero line | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Pivotal Point In Crypto Market Cycle Is Clear With LMACD

The LMACD is the logarithmic version of the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator and better accurately represents momentum in Bitcoin price on the log scale.

Although the signal is indeed bullish, Bitcoin bulls are not yet out of the woods. Such crossovers are less reliable when markets are consolidating, and depending on the macro climate, crypto could move sideways a lot longer like it did in late 2019 and 2020.

Crossovers with consolidation are less reliable | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

At that point, however, there was still leftover bear market resistance to contend with, which doesn’t exist today. The picture above also shows that the LMACD remains above the zero line, which suggests the asset is bullish in and of itself. On the last two of the four bullish crossovers were above the zero line, and only the third signal so far that produced a significant rally. How will the fourth finish?

It is important to note, however, that crossovers tend to be hard fought. Take the chart on the lower right, for example. The monthly price chart opened bearish just like the weekly opened bullish, but there is an ongoing struggle between the two opposing market forces: buyers and sellers.

Both the daily and monthly are also at inflection points | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The daily LMACD on the left hand side also warns of a potential bear cross on lower timeframes, which could put the bullish crossover on the weekly in jeopardy and the bearish crossover on monthly timeframes deeper into the red.

What the critical momentum indicator appears to suggest, is that the crypto market is at a major inflection point based on momentum, and could explode in one direction or another depending on what happens in the next two weeks ahead as August comes to a close.

#Bitcoin crosses bullish on the weekly LMACD while above the zero-line. Bullish and bullisher. pic.twitter.com/5qUWnzLIWy

— Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT (@tonythebullBTC) August 16, 2021

Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or via the TonyTradesBTC Telegram. Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice.

Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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