Why Bitcoin Could Slingshot Back To Lows Before Gaining Momentum

Tony "The Bull" Severino

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Bitcoin price is making its best attempt yet to climb back above $40,000 since the big crash in May. Thus far, the phrase “sell in May and go away” has worked like a charm, and it could take longer before buying coins back again is a profitable strategy.

That’s because the top cryptocurrency is struggling to hold above the middle-Bollinger Band, and if it can’t hold, it could result in another retest of the bottom of the band. Another retest could finally push the price per coin below support, making a clean sweep before a reversal.

Deja Vu: Why A Historic Move Could Be On The Horizon

For anyone who was around the crypto market during 2019, it feels like deja vu. At above $10,000, it wasn’t uncommon to see traders claiming the next stop was $100,000 or more. They were wrong, and Bitcoin crashed.

When it did, and sentiment shifted bearish, the cryptocurrency reversed with the third most profitable day on record. Anyone familiar with the October 2019 “China pump” knows that things can turn around fast, even when they seem at their worst.

Indicators are primed in the same way and so is sentiment, and the latest rally following a morning star reversal and dragonfly doji serve up plenty of bullish signals.

Why then, are the Bollinger Bands warning of one more potential collapse – matching the China pump a lot more closely than the current price action.

Could Bitcoin sweep lows one more time? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bitcoin Price Could Slingshot Lower Before A Bounce Back To Highs

The Bollinger Bands created by John Bollinger are a versatile technical analysis tool that measures volatility, highlights support and resistance, and much more. When the bands tighten or squeeze, it is a sign a massive move is coming ahead, and so far the tool is signaling something shocking should soon happen. But when?

Not quite yet, if the middle-Bollinger Band – a simple moving average – is lost as support. During the prelude to the historic China pump, the middle-BB was lost not once but twice.

Indicators also match the last time Bitcoin got so confusing | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bollinger Band Width is at similar lows, but should hang there a while long. BB% could sweep the current low like it did in 2019 before slingshotting back upward.

Finally, the LMACD is also exhibiting a very similar pattern and if another bearish crossover happens, it could be a massive trap like the last time around. But for now, beware of one more sweep of lows before a reversal.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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