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bitcoin slingshot bounce flight soar
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Why Bitcoin Could Slingshot Back To Lows Before Gaining Momentum

Tony Spilotro by Tony Spilotro
1 year ago
in BTC
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Bitcoin price is making its best attempt yet to climb back above $40,000 since the big crash in May. Thus far, the phrase “sell in May and go away” has worked like a charm, and it could take longer before buying coins back again is a profitable strategy.

That’s because the top cryptocurrency is struggling to hold above the middle-Bollinger Band, and if it can’t hold, it could result in another retest of the bottom of the band. Another retest could finally push the price per coin below support, making a clean sweep before a reversal.

Deja Vu: Why A Historic Move Could Be On The Horizon

For anyone who was around the crypto market during 2019, it feels like deja vu. At above $10,000, it wasn’t uncommon to see traders claiming the next stop was $100,000 or more. They were wrong, and Bitcoin crashed.

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When it did, and sentiment shifted bearish, the cryptocurrency reversed with the third most profitable day on record. Anyone familiar with the October 2019 “China pump” knows that things can turn around fast, even when they seem at their worst.

Related Reading | Time To Pay Attention: Bitcoin Indicator Behavior Mimics Historic Rally

Indicators are primed in the same way and so is sentiment, and the latest rally following a morning star reversal and dragonfly doji serve up plenty of bullish signals.

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Why then, are the Bollinger Bands warning of one more potential collapse – matching the China pump a lot more closely than the current price action.

bitcoin bollinger bands

Could Bitcoin sweep lows one more time? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bitcoin Price Could Slingshot Lower Before A Bounce Back To Highs

The Bollinger Bands created by John Bollinger are a versatile technical analysis tool that measures volatility, highlights support and resistance, and much more. When the bands tighten or squeeze, it is a sign a massive move is coming ahead, and so far the tool is signaling something shocking should soon happen. But when?

Related Reading | Bitcoin Daily Dragonfly Doji Gives Bulls Hope Of Sharp Reversal

Not quite yet, if the middle-Bollinger Band – a simple moving average – is lost as support. During the prelude to the historic China pump, the middle-BB was lost not once but twice.

bitcoin repeat wiWw1sIs

Indicators also match the last time Bitcoin got so confusing | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bollinger Band Width is at similar lows, but should hang there a while long. BB% could sweep the current low like it did in 2019 before slingshotting back upward.

Finally, the LMACD is also exhibiting a very similar pattern and if another bearish crossover happens, it could be a massive trap like the last time around. But for now, beware of one more sweep of lows before a reversal.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com
Tags: bitcoinBollinger bandsbtcbtcusdBTCUSDTcryptoxbtxbtusd
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Tony Spilotro

Tony Spilotro

I'm Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I'm a global remote work leader with a decade of award-winning content experience and excellence. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck - literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn't yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can't yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter at @tonyspilotroBTC and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.

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