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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Falls Under $100,000: Elliott Wave Analysis Forecasts Decline To $70,000
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Falls Under $100,000: Elliott Wave Analysis Forecasts Decline To $70,000

BTC Holders Reduce Spending, Why Bitcoin Could Get More Rocket Fuel

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
Last Updated: June 11, 2024 1:59 pm
2 mins read
bitcoin bull flag

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Bitcoin trends to the upside in the daily chart after experiencing some downside action during the weekend. As of press time, the benchmark crypto trades at $63,136 with a 3.8% profit in the 24-hour chart.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC recovers in the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

The rally has been driven by an increase in institutional demand as the first Bitcoin-linked Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in the U.S. have been rollout. Both products experienced a record in trading volume with ProShares’ product surpassing the launch of the Gold ETF by reaching $1 billion in less than 3 days.

$BITO just about at $1b in total volume today (curr $993m but trades still trickling in). Easily the biggest Day One of any ETF in terms of 'natural' volume. It also traded more than 99.5% of all ETFs (incl some bigs like $DIA, $ARKK, $SLV). It def defied our expectations.. pic.twitter.com/rWIPSAJboT

— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) October 19, 2021

This propelled the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Open Interest to the stratosphere setting a new all-time high of $5.44 billion for futures contracts, a report by Glassnode indicated. The CME OI has risen by over 265% in October 2021 alone, as seen in the chart below.

Related Reading | TA: Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdle, Why 100 SMA Is The Key

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Glassnode

The derivates market has been heating up across the board with the funding rates going positive as Bitcoin moves higher. This has triggered a FOMO effect which led to a correction as over-leverage traders were shaken out in the past days.

Bitcoin seems to be making quick recoveries and holding on to $60,000 as critical support, but as Glassnode noted an over-heated futures sector put the entire market at risk of further downside price action.

(…) funding rates remain at similar levels as observed just prior to the early September flush out. With futures open interest remaining near all-time highs, a risk of further downside to clear even more leverage does remain in play.

Bitcoin Investors Expect More Gains

In support of the current optimistic general sentiment in the crypto market, Glassnode noted a reduction in activity by long-term holders. These investors were taking profits for the past 2 weeks following a period of accumulation.

Related Reading | Is China Considering Lifting The Bitcoin Mining Ban? The NDRC Runs Public Survey

As the research firm explained, Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) exhibited a typical behavior as BTC’s price entered price discovery. As the chart below shows, there seems to be an inverse correlation between the total BTC supply held by LTHs and the price of this cryptocurrency.

bitcoin
Source: Glassnode

Whenever there is a reduction in LTHs spending, the price of Bitcoin tends to the upside in a massive rally as seen in late January and early February 2021.

Related Reading | On-Chain Data Shows Surge In Stablecoins Supply Pouring Into Bitcoin

When combining the behavior of LTHs, already resuming their BTC accumulation, with that of Short-term holders (STH), Glassnode concluded that the overall sentiment is for Bitcoin to reach new highs:

(…) STHs have stopped spending during this correction. With LTH supply already starting to recover, the most likely interpretation is that the vast majority of coin holders are still expecting and waiting for higher prices.

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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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